Russian natural gas exports: An analysis of challenges and opportunities.

Author(s): Vladimir Kutcherova, Maria Morgunova, Valery Bessel, and Alexey Lopatin.

Link: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X2030064X

Creative Commons.

Source: Science Direct - Elsevier.

Karl Bogha Comments:

This journal paper is of interest to engineers and businesses involved in natural gas and LNG markets. It is also of interest to general readers who have some basic understanding of commerce and use of similar energy resources at their local level be it at residential or industrial. In the news today Russia's energy supply to Europe and Asia is often seen on major TV news, online newspapers and magazines, and maybe by now a college level study.

Recently as March - July 2020 with Covid-19 impact on oil and gas businesses in US, and the drop in crude oil prices internationally, many small and medium size oil and gas companies have filed for bankruptcy protection in the US. This maybe one reason of interest to the reader and there may be relevant information here.

Please refer to the link for the original copy. Attached copies 1) has my highlights and 2) as is original.

I, Karl Bogha, am not one of the author. I read this journal paper recently. 

This paper should be of academic and work use for planning and forecasting of energy resources. It is relevant for science, engineering, and business students in tertiary institutions and graduates. It may encourage you to use MathCad/Prime resources for applications in natural gas and LNG. These applications can be in fluid flow studies, reservoir engineering, piping network design, pricing, demand forecast, project finance, etc.

Original Abstract:

This study provides a comprehensive, updated, and refined analysis of the challenges and opportunities for Russian natural gas exports based on recent statistical data, academic publications, and media sources. The paper addresses the lack of continuity in studies within the topic since the recent changes are not reflected well enough in the current peer-reviewed literature. In order to understand the perspectives regarding Russian natural gas export in global natural gas markets, we consequently examine the current layout of the global natural gas markets, and challenges and opportunities for Russian natural gas exports. The analysis shows that the U.S. natural gas market is closed for Russian exports. In the European market, Russia is experiencing difficulties in increasing its export shares, or even maintaining current levels, owing to various macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges. Asian markets such as China, India, Japan, and South Korea, are the most promising destinations for future Russian natural gas exports. Despite strong geopolitical challenges and high competition globally, Russia should seek maintaining current export levels in the European market, while implementing a win-win export strategy, and secure its future export shares on the Asian markets. The results of the study can be used for scenario and planning purposes, and be useful for policy makers and industry practitioners.

Title: Russian natural gas exports: An analysis of challenges and opportunities.
Author(s): Vladimir Kutcherova, Maria Morgunova, Valery Bessel, and Alexey Lopatin.