Valery: Beautiful curves! But I'm really replying to your New Year posting about Ochkov's constant (the ellipse fraction in conics through five random points in a square), with value 0.280... Maybe our colleagues have already provided a solution but I have spent many entertaining hours on this problem over the last month and it seems hard to me. One has the distributions of the points and wants the distribution of the discriminant of the solved linear system; well, since your points are chosen independently, the rows of your matrix M are independent, but solving for the five coefficients tangles up the ten independent uniform variables so thoroughly that it gets very hard to see how the original uniform inputs are reflected in the first three coefficients. My first thought was: well, let us pick four points and see what we can learn about the ellipse/hyperbola outcome when we move the fifth point around. Through four points (let's assume the quadrilateral is convex, since if it isn't we already know that we'll get a hyperbola no matter where we put the fifth point) we can draw exactly two parabolas, and they divide our square into ellipse regions and hyperbola regions, as shown in the attached pdfs. This is cute, but not immediately helpful. Note that an extra layer of complexity comes from the uniform distributions which, since they are step functions, propagate annoying edges throughout the computation. I've looked at simpler versions (let us say radially normally distributed, so the we get rid of the edges and have some symmetry to exploit) but eventually I run into the same wall, perhaps disguised as a different wall.
Anyhow, I'm enjoying getting re-acquainted with Mathcad via version 15. I worked at Mathsoft roughly from version 1.5 through 11 and remember that you were one of our earliest supporters, so I'm glad to see that you are still a Mathcad advocate, and I look forward to participating in the community (...once the ellipse constant problem is solved, that is).
Best from Chicago, where we just pretend to have winter.
Frank Purcell
twinprime@att.net
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